North Korea’s nuclear threat in 2018 | The Economist

North Korea’s nuclear threat in 2018 | The Economist


In April, North Korea will hold a national celebration… …to mark the birthday of the country’s founding “”eternal president”” Kim Il-sung But 2018 will also mark another milestone North Korea will have nuclear missiles that can reach American soil We’ll see an alarming game of nuclear brinkmanship… …between two of the world’s most hot-headed leaders… …Supreme Leader of North Korea, Kim Jong-un… …and President Donald Trump We need to be ready for anything that could happen over the next year… …and recognise that this is a very dangerous time As the crisis comes to a head, will 2018 bring cold war or nuclear disaster? Kim Jong-un is the man with a merciless character The world should pay attention Communist North Korea is a secretive state of 25 million people Increasingly, North Koreans are fleeing the tyrannical regime Thae Yong-ho is one of the highest-ranking officials to defect to the West He has unique insight into the inner workings of Mr Kim’s government… …and its nuclear ambition In 2018 North Korea’s Kim Jong-un will test fire… …his Inter Continental Ballistic Missile, ICBM, and its nuclear test Kim Jong-un is really desperate to finish his goal… …of acquiring the ability to attack America from North Korean territory The country is already believed to have the means to deliver nuclear warheads… …at short and medium range In 2017 with the world watching, Mr Kim successfully tested his long-range missile In 2018 he will perfect and demonstrate the ability to fit a nuclear weapon on a missile… …and fly it all the way to the American mainland San Francisco and Los Angeles will be in its reach Kim Jong-un thinks that the ICBM and nuclear weapons… …will be vital for his long-term survival The road ahead will be defined by the pugnacious personalities of Mr Kim and Mr Trump North Korea has long been known for hurling insults at world leaders Mr Kim has described Mr Trump as “”a mentally deranged US dotard”” The President has surprised many… …by responding to the taunts with equally provocative language Played out in public, the war of words is unprecedented We will strike a merciless blow at the heart of the US They will be met with fire and fury The so-called “”rocket man”” is often ridiculed in the West… …but he’s proven himself to be calculating and callous If he thinks something really threatens his survival, he’s the sort of man to do anything He even killed his uncle and his half-brother It’s very important that as rhetoric heats up we not allow that to tumble into a situation… …that would create an opportunity for miscalculation Despite the bluster and posturing… …there is nothing to suggest either leader wants to go to war In 2018, Donald Trump must choose between military action and diplomacy China is key to Mr Trump’s diplomatic route As supplier of virtually all North Korea’s oil, China could curb Mr Kim’s behaviour But so far China has been reluctant to reluctant to intervene… …because it wants to avoid the collapse of the regime… …which could result in a united Korea, with American troops on China’s border There is a chance, however remote, that in the year ahead, America could order… …pre-emptive surgical strikes against North Korea’s nuclear missile facilities If we light that keg we can’t assume we’ll be able to dampen the fire that ensues quickly or easily The impact of an American military intervention would have devastating consequences North Korea has vast conventional artillery at the ready North Korean military officers are all trained to press their buttons if there is any attack… …even a very limited attack by America North Korea would retaliate by firing missiles already positioned to hit Seoul… …South Korea’s capital The mega city of 10 million people is only 56 kilometres from the North’s border If North Korea chooses to attack Seoul, an ally and partner of the United States… …the response would be devastating and overwhelming America has 28,000 troops stationed in South Korea President Trump is capable of deploying cruise missiles, submarines and carriers within hours Kim Jong-un would reach for his stockpile of chemical… …biological and eventually nuclear weapons The death toll would rise into the millions… …until American and South Korean forces eventually overwhelm the North Korean military But war in 2018 is unlikely The North Korean leader may be pushing the limits of inflammatory behaviour… …but there is no evidence that he is irrational Kim Jong-un knows that if he uses nuclear weapons against South Korea or America… …then he would be the immediate subject of total destruction I do not think that he may initiate that kind of attack The appropriate response from America should not be military bravado… …but old-fashioned cold war deterrence and containment Downgrade diplomatic relations with the regime We need to make very clear that there is no way that Kim Jong-un will ever gain… …from the use of his nuclear and missile capabilities I think 2018, America should continue its maximum pressure policy It can make a very negative environment for Kim Jong-un to continue his process In the year ahead… …America and China should increase pressure on North Korea with tougher sanctions In 2018, the world can avoid catastrophe

100 Comments on "North Korea’s nuclear threat in 2018 | The Economist"


  1. why North Korea doing this I don't understand what's their problem? I don't know who is the good or bad?

    Can anyone tell me? And don't brainwash me up ok

    Reply

  2. If the war happened ,it must be a very very horrible war ,millions of people will be died in this war , So many innocent people will be killed without reason ,terrible !!

    Reply

  3. The funny thing is norrh korea attack might mihht hi on june 12 2018 lol i went to the ocen nothing no nukes

    Reply

  4. Fatalists unite….as you can keep hating our president who just saved your life. North Korea will change now that President Trump handled them like the Master he is. Baby Kim will be OWNED by President Trump.

    Reply

  5. It's officially the end of my life,it was a pleasure knowing you all,fuck kim jong un.well don't care that i die but I care about everyone else dieing,have fun and live while you can,love you all

    Reply

  6. North korea should just disappear… Their whole existence is so wrong. They're pest to society .

    Reply

  7. Donald Trump is worst that Hittler at least Hittler cared about his country I mean our lives is on edge and he still call him names we could have chosen Hillary Clinton instead

    Reply

  8. Kim Jong-Un is less powerful than Genghis Khan the Mongolian empire took over A LOT of country’s and im Mongolian and Mongolia was so powerful and Genghis Khan also had the most children people ever seen plus China got scared of Mongolia and built the Great Wall of China and some adult I knew said was China had 200 soldiers and Mongolia and 10 soldiers and Mongolia won and Mongolia probably had god with them and Mongolia wasn’t the evil taking over country just other country’s tried to take over them and yep

    Reply

  9. I'm a religious person i know how we die and when we die were in the endgame now😭😭it was nice talking with I'm sorry sorry😭😔😔and were gonna lose and when we die God chooses we either go to heaven or hell

    Reply

  10. Ummmm im still alive its 2019 I started to freak out on dec 30 I said to myself "im going to die and I have not told my crush I liked him yet." Thats what I said to myself but im okay now I hope.

    Reply

  11. So NK's wish is to be the best country? Even though u conquer the world it doesn't mean ur the best. Being the best should respect their people and should help. Not to start a war or a fight.

    Reply

  12. you know if he keeps launching his nuclear wepons a world war 3 will break out SO PLS STOP KIM JONG UN PLZ

    Reply

  13. War starts between USA and North Korea

    USA:just send 3 castle bravos to Pyongyang

    War ends in just 3 days

    Reply

  14. Love the media hype and scar tactics thanks to the elite that are herding the sheep.

    Reply

  15. the golem on feet of clay with a gigantic chin of glass…

    because your abused warhorse usa never recovered from vietnam trauma…
    creepy choppers from un…. remember thier role in desert storm and irak war of 2003

    pharisäers – in the yemen war… leitimizing every genozid…. wicket ones…

    Reply

  16. Don't fuck with Kim Jong Un. We have been at peace with North Korea. Why now? Let's stay at peace.

    Reply

  17. My father works inside the nuclear doomsday device he controls the key they change their nuclear weapons currently it’s top secret but I can tell you it is devastating Donald Trump made or nuclear weapons more powerful than Russia North Korea Better behave or burn in hell by our nuclear weapons

    Reply

  18. Yet our earth is trying to protect it self from being burned by the sun were gonna kill our selves

    Reply

  19. as i said… if kim jong even remotely press any buttons agains the world outside hees own country. us will make north korea a dessert in a matter of hours. so he should just keep hees country to himself or give uup before us have had enough

    Reply

  20. They need to change his name to Sum Dum Fuk
    And What IDIOTS think he can actually reach past his own Coastline ?

    Reply

  21. PEACE THRU SUPERIOR FIREPOWER – I say let him Shoot, his ICBM is only BM….since he can't keep them from falling apart during re-entry – Then we Take a Turn…

    Reply

  22. North Korea would launch only if they were attacked. A nuclear attack would ensure the totally destruction of the Kim Regime.

    Reply

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